Red Bull’s 2026 Lineup Decision Imminent

Hadjar has impressed throughout his rookie 2025 season, scoring 51 points including a Dutch Grand Prix podium, positioning him as the clear frontrunner for the seat.

Hadjar’s strong case for promotion

The French driver’s performances have convinced Red Bull executives of his championship potential. Hints from Hadjar himself suggest he knows his destination, and he has expressed openness to the role, acknowledging Verstappen’s superiority while viewing 2026’s new regulations as an ideal reset. His familiarity with Red Bull structures since 2015 further strengthens his candidacy.

Tsunoda set for demotion

Yuki Tsunoda faces losing his full-time F1 race seat after struggling since his promotion to Red Bull mid-2025, currently sitting 17th in the standings. However, reports suggest Tsunoda could remain involved through a Honda TPC (Testing of Previous Cars) deal, providing engines for Red Bull’s testing program amid new FIA mandates.

Honda-Red Bull negotiations

Helmut Marko confirmed ongoing talks with Honda for TPC engines, noting a « good and fair relationship. » This arrangement could secure Tsunoda a reserve role across both Red Bull teams, despite his expected departure from the race lineup. Tsunoda hinted at knowing his future during the Qatar weekend without elaborating.

Racing Bulls lineup implications

With Hadjar’s promotion to the main team, Arvid Lindblad is tipped for an F1 debut at Racing Bulls, while Liam Lawson competes for the remaining seat against Tsunoda. Ralf Schumacher predicted this outcome, citing Tsunoda’s lack of progress compared to Hadjar’s clear upward trajectory.